预期进球探索

Spain chance profile

17 shots · 1.84 xG

1.84Total expected goals

By situation

xG contribution

Open play

1.31

Set pieces

0.38

Transition

0.15

By shooting zone

Quality and volume

0.48Six-yard box1 shot

0.96Central box7 shots

0.25Wide box4 shots

0.15Outside box5 shots

International Final14 July 2026Berlin

🇪🇸SpainHome

2–1Full time

🇦🇷ArgentinaAway

Rodri 45+3'
Yamal 78'62' Álvarez

Action map

Pass routes · xPass and xA

Player

StandardThrough ballCrossLong ballKey passInaccurate

Expected data

Chance, creation, progression, execution and goalkeeping

SpainExpected metricArgentina

Core match signals

1.84Expected goals (xG)1.12

2.26xG on target (xGOT)1.48

0.46Expected assists (xA)0.23

0.61Expected threat (xT)0.38

🧤

Emiliano Martínez

Argentina · Goalkeeper

9.8

11Saves

2.14xGOT faced

1Goals conceded

+1.14Goals prevented

Shots faced

Size = xGOT · 🧤 = Saved

SELECTED SHOT · SAVEDOne-handed save · 0.22 xGOT

A one-handed stop turned the shot around the post.

比赛内页 · 关键时刻

🇪🇸Spain

1–178'

Argentina 🇦🇷

⚡

Lamine Yamal

Spain · Right winger

8.7Data8.4Users

ON-BALL · LAMINE YAMAL

Right half-space, three options

+0.18Best expected

Available actions

Expected value

Expected vs actual

Pass completed · shot created

+0.18Expected value

+0.21Actual value

+0.03Difference

SELECTED OPTION · +0.18 EXPECTEDCut back to Olmo

The completed cutback created a first-time shot worth slightly more than expected.

比赛内页 · Stats

🇪🇸Spain

2–1FULL TIME

Argentina 🇦🇷

0–15 MINUTES

Spain build through the left

0.14xT created

Threat by zone

Attacking direction →

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.01

0.02

0.05

0.08

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.06

The left channel carries 47% of Spain's threat in this phase.

Rodri Hernández

⚽ Manchester City · 🇪🇸 Spain

★ 12,499 Followers

Age30 yrs

H/W191/82 kg

PositionDM

Value€110M

Statistics

Premier League · 2025/26

7Appearances

9Goals

2Assists

8.7Rating

EXPECTED DATA

Expected data

2025/26Per 90 · All competitions

Metric view

Competition

npxG · Non-penalty chance quality0.69 / 90

Expected goals excluding penalties, useful for comparing repeatable chance quality.

Position percentile

93

Expected contribution profile

Player vs position

1.00xG+xA / 90

PlayerPosition avg

Expected impact matrix

Same position · Per 90

High xAHigh bothLower bothHigh xG

Expected output by match

Player vs position average

6-match total3.07 xG

Per match0.51 xG

Best match0.91 · SEV

Expected goals · xGPosition avg · 0.36 xG

Latest · 0.54

SEV · 88 minutesExpected goals · xG0.91 xG5 shots · 3 on target · 1 goal

Performance trend

Last 5 matches

ARSBARCHEINTPSG

Playing style

Position percentile

Penalty-box touches

97

Shots on target

94

Threat progression

84

Assists

71

Position & strengths

ST · RW

Box movementStrong finishingFast breaks

Attacks the space behind the back line from central areas; less effective when dropping under pressure.

ST

Player match card

Spain 2–1 Argentina · Full time

Full time

Rodri Hernández

🇪🇸 Spain
Midfielder · #16

8.2

Minutes120

Goals1

Assists0

Cards0/0

EXPECTED DATA · MATCH

Expected data

Match total

Match ranking · xG

#1Rodri Hernández1.03

#2F. Torres0.72

#3L. Yamal0.58

xG · Chance quality1.03

Probability before each shot, summed across the match.

Action map

Shots · Size = xG

8Shots

4On target

1.03xG

1.12xGOT

26' · Shot details0.08 xG

xG0.08

xGOT0.11

Shot typeRight foot

Match situationOpen play

Distance14.2 m

OutcomeSaved

Selected possession2 passes · final shot

⚽

Build-up pass0.88 xPass+0.02 xT

Final pass0.64 xPass0.08 xA

Shot0.08 xG0.11 xGOT

Goalkeeper match card

Spain 2–1 Argentina · Full time

Full time

GK

Unai Simón

🇪🇸 Spain
Goalkeeper · #23

7.8

Minutes120

Saves4

Goals conceded1

Clean sheetNo

EXPECTED SAVES · MATCH

Save performance

+0.42

Expected saves3.585 on target − 1.42 post-shot xG

Actual saves480% save rate

Above expected+0.42Actual − expected

Shot-stopping map

Size = post-shot xG

🧤Saved⚽Goal conceded

18'SAVED

+0.22Goals prevented

ShooterJulián ÁlvarezLow · bottom-left

Post-shot xG0.31

Save typeLow save

ResultSaved

Distribution map

Tap a pass

31 / 38Accurate passes

8 / 14Long balls

2Threat passes

7'ACCURATE

+0.01xT added

RouteUnai Simón → LaporteShort build-up

xPass0.94

Distance14 m

xT added+0.01

FC Barcelona

🇪🇸 Spain

★

12,499Followers

Recent matches

All fixtures ›

LaLiga

FT3–1

ATM

Champions League

22 Oct03:00

INT

EXPECTED GOALS · MATCH BY MATCH

预期进球表现

LaLiga · 2025/26

1.84xG / match

0.92xGA / match

+0.92Expected goal diff.

Expected goals createdTeam avg 1.84 · League 1.46

2 goals · 2.06 xG

Actual goalsExpected goals

SEV · Selected matchActual goals vs expected goals3 / 2.6411 shots · 4 big chances · 1.88 big-chance xG

Points vs expected points

xPoints derived from xG and xGA · Last 6 matches

Actual points15 pts

Expected points11.7 xPts

Points above xPts+3.3

Actual pointsExpected points

Standings

LaLiga ›

TeamPW/D/LPTS

1FCBBarcelona86/1/119

2RMAReal Madrid85/2/117

3ATMAtlético85/1/216

Key players

Season rating ›

LP

Lamine YamalRW · 0.52 xG+xA / 90

8.5

RP

RaphinhaLW · 0.41 xG+xA / 90

8.1

PD

PedriCM · 0.29 xT / 90

7.9

Team info

Founded1899

StadiumEstadi Olímpic

CoachHansi Flick

Squad value€1.01B

English Premier League

🏴 England

★

112,924Followers

EXPECTED DATA · COMPETITION

预期数据

赛季比较

Season total · 累计产量

覆盖出场 900 分钟以上球员；按当前维度展示榜首。

Expected output × involvement

Players · per 90

League avg

xG / 90 →↑ Shots / 90

Points earned vs expected

Actual points compared with xPoints · 30 matches

20 clubs

Best Avg Rating

EH

#1 · Manchester CityErling Haaland

7.6

#2Bruno Fernandes7.5

#3Virgil van Dijk7.2

#4Dominik Szoboszlai7.2

Top Scorer

EH

#1 · Manchester CityErling Haaland

27 (3)

#2Igor Thiago22 (8)

#3Ollie Watkins16

#4João Pedro15

选择预期数据，查看它在不同产品页面中的具体位置、样式和交互。点击问号查看指标含义与算法。

Expected threat

xT

1个产品页面

PRODUCT PRESENTATION

比赛内页 · Overview

🇪🇸Spain

2–1FULL TIME

Argentina 🇦🇷

Match total xG 走势

每次射门后更新，Goal保留独立节点

17 shots

SELECTED CHANCE · GOAL63' · Rodri · 0.42 xG

点击点位查看球员、时间、结果和本脚 xG。

1.84Spain cumulative xG

1.12Argentina cumulative xG

63'Current time

球员比赛卡 · Shooting

⚽

Rodri Hernández

Spain · Midfielder · 90 min

8.2

FINISHING VALUE

Compare every attempt

+0.20Best shot added

12' attempt

Shot timeline · earliest to latest

Before shot · xG

0.08

After shot · xGOT

0.04

SELECTED ATTEMPT−0.04 shot added

Click a time to compare that shot's chance quality with its placement.

球员资料页 · Overview

🎯

Lamine Yamal

Spain · Right winger

8.7

LAST 5 MATCHES

Chance creation

1.26Total xA

Created chances

SELECTED CHANCE · 0.34 xACutback to Morata

A low pass into the central box created the clearest chance.

比赛内页 · Live

🇪🇸Spain

1–068'

Argentina 🇦🇷

THREAT CREATED

Spain are progressing centrally

+0.31Team xT

Threat zones

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.02

0.05

0.11

0.16

0.03

0.07

0.19

0.28

SELECTED ACTION · +0.08 xTYamal carries into the right half-space

The carry moves possession from 0.03 to 0.11 threat.

球员比赛卡 · Passing

🧭

Rodri Hernández

Spain · Midfielder

8.2

74 / 82Completed

0.85Average xPass

8Difficult passes completed

Pass difficulty

CompletedTotal attempts

High ≥80%

43/44

Mid 50–79%

24/26

Low <50%

7/12

Pass threat

xT created by completed passes

+0.31Passing xT

High ≥0.05

3

Mid 0.02–0.04

9

Low <0.02

62

12 attempts had a success probability below 50%; 8 were completed.

门将比赛卡 · Saves

🧤

Emiliano Martínez

Argentina · Goalkeeper

9.8

SHOT STOPPING

Saved above expectation

+1.14Goals prevented

11Saves

2.14Expected goals on target

1Goals conceded

Shot placement

SELECTED SHOT · SAVEDTop-corner save · 0.67 expected goals

This save contributed most to the positive total.

HOME🇪🇸 Spain

2–1Full time

AWAYArgentina 🇦🇷

Spain xG1.84

Argentina xG1.12

xG difference+0.72

Total shots25

整场对比

同一场比赛

1.84

xG

1.12

17

Shots

8

0.11

xG / shot

0.14

按比赛阶段拆分

xG · shots

阶段SpainArgentina上半场0.81 · 80.16 · 3下半场0.91 · 70.68 · 4加时赛0.12 · 20.28 · 1

Spain 的 1.84 xG 来自 17 次射门；Argentina 射门更少，但平均每次射门 xG 为 0.14，高于 Spain 的 0.11。

SPAIN1.84 xG

2–125 shots

ARGENTINA1.12 xG

SpainArgentina圆越大 = xG 越高⚽ = 进球

SPAIN1.84 xG

2–1120 minutes

ARGENTINA1.12 xG

累计 xG

点击下方射门查看当时差值

SpainArgentina

SPAIN1.84 xG

2–1Full time

ARGENTINA1.12 xG

Spain · 1.84 xG

按射门情境汇总

该来源下的全部射门

SPAIN1.84 xG

2–1Actual score

ARGENTINA1.12 xG

赛果概率

基于全场 xG

概率最高的比分

列出前 6 项

实际比分2–1

该比分概率—

最高概率比分—

总 xG2.96

计算口径：分别以 Spain 1.84 xG、Argentina 1.12 xG 作为进球均值，使用独立 Poisson 分布计算 0–6 球的比分组合。结果描述本场机会对应的概率分布，不等同于赛前预测。

Spain chance profile

By situation

By shooting zone

Action map

高价值威胁动作

Scoring chances

Chance quality mix

Expected data

Emiliano Martínez

Shots faced

Rodri Hernández

What changed after the shot

Lamine Yamal

Right half-space, three options

Available actions

Expected vs actual

Aymeric Laporte

Runner enters the box, three responses

Defensive actions

Expected vs actual

Spain build through the left

Threat by zone

Rodri Hernández

Statistics

Expected data ?

Expected contribution profile

Expected impact matrix

Expected output by match

Performance trend

Playing style

Position & strengths

Rodri Hernández

Expected data ?

Action map

Rodri goal sequence

Possession chain

Unai Simón

Save performance

Shot-stopping map

Distribution map

FC Barcelona

Recent matches

预期进球表现

Points vs expected points

Standings

Key players

Team info

English Premier League

预期数据

Expected output × involvement

Points earned vs expected

Best Avg Rating

Top Scorer

xT

Match total xG 走势

Rodri Hernández

Compare every attempt

12' attempt

Lamine Yamal

Chance creation

Created chances

Spain are progressing centrally

Threat zones

Rodri Hernández

Pass difficulty

Pass threat

Emiliano Martínez

Saved above expectation

Shot placement

整场对比

按比赛阶段拆分

累计 xG

Spain · 1.84 xG

赛果概率

概率最高的比分

Expected data

Expected data